According to a new study by IDC, Microsoft is poised to over take Apple’s iOS in marketshare by 2016. While that’s quite a ways away, and anything can happen, it certainly gives a lot of credit to Microsoft and Windows Phone. This whole “projection” swings on whether or not Nokia can maintain, or build upon, their current situation, as the premier Windows Phone manufacturer, if they can, IDC believes that’s what will allow Windows Phone to usurp iOS.
Android on the other hand will remain the market leader, at least until 2016, but IDC believes that in 2012, Google’s behemoth will finally peak and while they’ll retain the market leader “title,” they too will lose market share over the next few years.
Things may sound grim for iOS, as Apple could lose positioning, but in fact, it’s Google who will be the biggest loser. ICD believes that before the end of the year, Google will control roughly 61% of the market, but by 2016, they’ll drop all the way back down to 53%, Apple, according to them, will only give up about 2% of their 20.5-21% marketshare dropping them down to about 19%, while Windows Phone will jump up from 5% all the way to 19.2%. So while Windows Phone may surpass Apple’s iOS, it will only be by a very slight margin.
Keep in mind these are estimates from a survery, the IDC doesn’t have a time machine, this isn’t a guaranteed truth, but some interesting number crunching to say the least.
What do you all think? Can Windows Phone eat away at Google’s lead and bring themselves up to 2 place in the smartphone war? Let us know.
Source: WP-Life (Sister-site)